Victoria’s coronavirus (COVID-19) modelling confirms staying at home saves lives

20 April 2020

The Victorian Government has released modelling to provide greater understanding of the spread of coronavirus in Victoria.

The modelling, done by Victoria’s epidemiological experts at the Department of Health and Human Services and in collaboration with Monash University and the Doherty Institute, shows how our actions are protecting the health system and saving lives.

It includes modelling on case numbers before and after the introduction of restrictions and increased physical distancing measures.

It also provides insight into scenario projections on future case numbers, and demonstrates the importance of staying the course.

Together our actions have made a real difference and slowed the spread of coronavirus in Victoria.

But there is still a long way to go.

That’s why our message to Victorians remains the same: Stay home. Protect our health system. Save lives.

View the summary of the modelling (PDF).

Read the detailed analysis behind the modelling.

View the Victorian Chief Health Officer’s slideshow presentation (PPT).

Read the original media release.


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